Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 371.497243 422.567200 479.647483 548.459699 629.542018 722.502207 837.801488
2025-08-10 289.826454 354.365304 433.156650 537.525660 673.794757 847.987732 1091.291336
2025-08-17 256.168295 328.405866 421.924618 554.034763 739.419345 995.836241 1387.388554
2025-08-24 226.095455 300.601411 401.550874 551.610819 774.822060 1104.373134 1647.270840
2025-08-31 201.186459 275.549395 380.149918 542.397902 795.997692 1192.199996 1890.388125
2025-09-07 184.436798 259.456625 368.625782 544.717212 832.983329 1308.204816 2202.277800
2025-09-14 167.209785 240.510628 350.250807 533.224788 844.885661 1383.321393 2457.090475
2025-09-21 154.964249 227.629930 339.395086 531.771166 872.345617 1488.590788 2791.746326
2025-09-28 140.020234 209.094325 317.618160 509.203430 859.073824 1516.459847 2975.900908
2025-10-05 135.473284 206.488325 321.063585 529.891028 926.648237 1709.355395 3561.942885
2025-10-12 132.012160 205.228903 326.440042 554.387170 1004.836756 1938.229904 4298.176905
2025-10-19 125.387360 198.086169 320.999780 558.192283 1042.534768 2088.764527 4889.041672
2025-10-26 116.236589 186.134400 306.437502 543.763905 1042.269176 2158.868515 5302.522635
2025-11-02 108.532870 176.122189 294.510743 533.217623 1048.996797 2247.475175 5801.859810
2025-11-09 105.311971 173.687735 296.055611 549.532628 1116.881578 2497.776490 6877.144704
2025-11-16 99.922449 166.929762 288.917564 547.136470 1141.852856 2645.561305 7689.963273
2025-11-23 94.195271 159.131443 279.128151 538.013006 1149.564837 2749.579257 8399.376056
2025-11-30 90.296859 154.424641 274.888616 540.309761 1185.273053 2938.998389 9507.011480
2025-12-07 85.199348 147.116517 264.943699 528.929178 1185.074126 3025.696658 10261.353178
2025-12-14 81.558697 142.336906 259.669102 527.489669 1210.296652 3194.718868 11444.487887
2025-12-21 76.074595 133.672532 245.893246 505.140000 1177.068766 3175.639234 11798.821829
2025-12-28 75.155182 133.831125 250.240499 525.627772 1263.229819 3562.010391 14266.831935
2026-01-04 74.565268 134.587117 255.878589 549.885225 1364.609509 4031.481331 17515.171879